We used to fear the Russian military. The events of the past two weeks have radically changed opinions. It appears they have massive issues with logistics, communications security and morale. The fact that Su-34s, the most modern strike aircraft in their inventory, are being shot down, and they haven't gotten control of the air yet is massively telling.
Meanwhile, the sanctions seem to be causing real pain as company after company is terminating their operations and the ruble is plummeting in value.
Putin seems either completely unhinged or doing a very good impression of it. We cannot rule out a palace coup at this stage. We also can't rule out the use of nuclear weapons, but that would require a lot of other people to be crazy.
But until he's gone, a lot of people are going to suffer from his delusional folly.
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