When this latest offensive began, I doubted that Assad would be in power at the next Islamic New Year in June.
He has now fallen faster than anyone really expected; his army deserting, his allies in Russia and Iran abandoning him. His current fate is unknown; at best he'll be living his remaining days in exile - there is a French warrant out for his arrest in any event.
Syria now faces an uncertain future; one hopes that the new government will be democratic and tolerant of religious minorities.
In the meantime, Assad's fate should serve as a warning to all tyrants, active or wannabe; when the fall comes, it can come very quickly indeed.
Mene, Mene, Tekel, Parsin.
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