Many analyses from even a few days ago are looking old; it is entirely possible that the Taliban could be in the centre of Kabul by next Saturday now. It depends on whether Ghani can get his forces in any form of order or there is some kind of brokered ceasefire where he stands down.
A full assault is likely to be a bloodbath on all sides. We're likely to end up with millions of refugees in any event.
Does anyone know any good charities I can donate to here?
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