OK, here's my prediction for Tuesday. I may be wrong on some or all of these.
- Biden will win the popular vote by 5 to 10 percentage points, probably on the higher end of that range.
- It will be clear, but not 100% confirmed, who has won on the night.
- Biden will get 351 Electoral Votes, picking up Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. (My full predictions can be found here)
- He will just miss out on Ohio and Texas.
- Turnout will be at its highest since universal suffrage.
- The Democrats will win both Houses of Congress.
- Trump will privately concede, but publicly not do so.
- Expect multiple criminal investigations into Trump as soon as he leaves office.
- A lot of Republicans will not take this lying down and the next four years could be pretty tense.
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